Part of South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Q: South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Current market consensus shows a 10% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jul 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

10.4%0.0% (24h)

NO: 94.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$155.73

Liquidity

$1,099.76

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

11%

Market Microstructure

Mid

5.5%

Spread

9.90% (18165bps)

Depth

$1.1k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jul 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Lindsey Graham	82.0%	Trade
Paul Dans	16.5%	Trade
Mark Lynch	6.3%	Trade
Thomas Murphy	5.5%	Trade
any other person	-	Trade
Player A	-	Trade
Player B	-	Trade
Player C	-	Trade
Player D	-	Trade
Player E	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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