Part of Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Rank #12031·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Aug 18, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
72.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 29.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$222.39
Liquidity
$936.01
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
59%

Market Microstructure

Mid
71%
Spread
3.00% (426bps)
Depth
$936
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Aug 18, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Nancy Dahlstrom
77.5%Trade
Tom Begich
70.5%Trade
Bernadette Wilson
47.0%Trade
Dave Bronson
45.0%Trade
Treg Taylor
41.0%Trade
Click Bishop
41.0%Trade
Adam Crum
24.5%Trade
James Parkin
21.0%Trade
Matt Heilala
18.0%Trade
Hank Kroll
16.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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