Part of West Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Q: West Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Current market consensus shows a 70% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves May 12, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

70.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 64.6%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$272.50

Liquidity

$238.95

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

71%

Market Microstructure

Mid

35%

Spread

69.30% (19604bps)

Depth

$239

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

May 12, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Shelley Moore Capito	58.5%	Trade
Alexander Gaasserud	39.0%	Trade
Tom Willis	35.4%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade
Candidate G	-	Trade
Candidate I	-	Trade
Candidate K	-	Trade
Candidate M	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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