Part of Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Tommy Thompson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Aug 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 91.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$109.57
Liquidity
$8.03
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
17%

Market Microstructure

Mid
8.5%
Spread
15.00% (17647bps)
Depth
$8
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Aug 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Tom Tiffany
43.5%Trade
Sean Duffy
35.0%Trade
Andy Manske
18.0%Trade
Tim Michels
15.5%Trade
Rebecca Kleefisch
9.8%Trade
Tommy Thompson
8.5%Trade
Josh Schoemann
6.5%Trade
Eric Hovde
3.3%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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