Current YES Probability
25.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 75.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$4,984.43
Liquidity
$4,796.93
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
49%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
25%
Spread
1.00% (408bps)
Depth
$4.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 29, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Netanyahu hug on December 29, 2025 ET. Any hug recorded on that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
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