Part of How long will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for when they meet?
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
10.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 91.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$103.18
Liquidity
$2,788.30
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
17%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
8.5%
Spread
3.00% (3529bps)
Depth
$2.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds | 37.0% | Trade |
Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds | 32.0% | Trade |
Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds | 21.0% | Trade |
Zelenskyy not shake hands | 8.5% | Trade |
Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds | 7.5% | Trade |
Zelenskyy only be photographed together, without a clear handshake | 7.0% | Trade |
Zelenskyy’s handshake last 15 seconds or longer | 6.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy during the day (ET) of their next meeting in 2025. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
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