Part of Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Rank #745·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,911,847.67
Liquidity
$188,651.34
Deep
Volatility
Market Split
3%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.5%
Spread
0.60% (4000bps)
Depth
$188.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Kevin Hassett
57.5%Trade
Kevin Warsh
21.5%Trade
Christopher Waller
10.7%Trade
Rick Rieder
4.7%Trade
Michelle Bowman
1.8%Trade
Scott Bessent
1.6%Trade
Judy Shelton
1.5%Trade
Stephen Miran
0.3%Trade
David Malpass
0.1%Trade
Jerome Powell
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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