Part of Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,064,458.96
Liquidity
$79,094.66
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
3%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.6%
Spread
0.10% (645bps)
Depth
$79.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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