Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?

Q: Who will Trump pardon in 2025? - Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?

Current market consensus shows a 1% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #13040·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

0.5%0.0% (24h)

NO: 99.7%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$109,579.99

Liquidity

$30,844.54

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

0.35%

Spread

0.30% (8571bps)

Depth

$30.8k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 31, 2025

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Steve Bannon	3.0%	Trade
Roger Stone	2.1%	Trade
Bob Menendez	1.6%	Trade
Roger Ver	1.3%	Trade
Eric Adams	1.2%	Trade
Diddy	0.8%	Trade
Julian Assange	0.8%	Trade
Joe Exotic "The Tiger King"	0.7%	Trade
Sam Bankman-Fried	0.7%	Trade
Edward Snowden	0.6%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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