Part of Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?

Q: Who will Trump pardon before 2027? - Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?

Current market consensus shows a 93% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

93.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 53.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$5.00

Liquidity

$2.18

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

94%

Market Microstructure

Mid

47%

Spread

92.00% (19574bps)

Depth

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Daniel Penny	49.5%	Trade
Young Thug	49.0%	Trade
Matt Gaetz	48.5%	Trade
Antoine Massey	48.0%	Trade
Stefan Brodie	47.0%	Trade
Roger Ver	37.0%	Trade
Steve Bannon	36.5%	Trade
Eric Adams	28.5%	Trade
Roger Stone	25.5%	Trade
Bob Menendez	25.0%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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