Part of How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2025?

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?

Rank #6773·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.6% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$356,072.25
Liquidity
$17,712.92
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.45%
Spread
0.30% (6667bps)
Depth
$17.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
rating hit 40%
1.4%Trade
rating hit 30%
0.6%Trade
rating hit 35%
0.4%Trade
rating hit 25%
0.4%Trade
rating hit 20%
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 14 and December 31 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
+0.0%