Part of What will Trump say this week (December 29 - January 4)?

Will Trump say "2026" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Rank #14841·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
95.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 12.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$469.78
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
25%

Market Microstructure

Mid
88%
Spread
15.00% (1714bps)
Depth
$470
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
"2026"
87.5%Trade
"Happy New Year"
78.0%Trade
"Military"
68.5%Trade
"Eighth war" or "Eight wars"
65.5%Trade
"Bibi"
60.5%Trade
"MAGA" or "Make America Great Again"
59.5%Trade
"Hezbollah" or "Lebanon"
54.5%Trade
"Hell"
54.5%Trade
"Stock market"
54.0%Trade
"Peace in the Middle East"
53.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 29, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and January 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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