Part of What will Trump say in December?
Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
7.2%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,207.39
Liquidity
$86.76
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
9%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.8%
Spread
4.90% (10316bps)
Depth
$87
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
"Knucklehead" or "Numbskull" or "Numskull" | 41.0% | Trade |
"RINO" or "Rhino" | 39.5% | Trade |
"Democrat shutdown" | 23.0% | Trade |
"Rambunctious" | 20.5% | Trade |
"No more questions" | 19.0% | Trade |
"Sucker" or "Sucked" | 18.0% | Trade |
"Super Centennial" | 17.0% | Trade |
"Swimmingly" | 13.0% | Trade |
"Santa Claus" | 12.5% | Trade |
"Cycling" or "Marathon" | 10.5% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
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