Part of What will Trump say in December?

Will Trump say "Democrat shutdown" in December?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
42.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 76.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$503.93
Liquidity
$107.60
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
47%

Market Microstructure

Mid
24%
Spread
37.00% (15745bps)
Depth
$108
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
"RINO" or "Rhino"
57.5%Trade
"Knucklehead" or "Numbskull" or "Numskull"
44.0%Trade
"Democrat shutdown"
23.5%Trade
"Rambunctious"
21.5%Trade
"No more questions"
19.0%Trade
"Sucker" or "Sucked"
18.0%Trade
"Super Centennial"
17.0%Trade
"Santa Claus"
13.0%Trade
"Swimmingly"
12.0%Trade
"Trump 2028"
11.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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