Part of How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
21.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 78.6% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$490.21
Liquidity
$1,723.66
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
43%

Market Microstructure

Mid
21%
Spread
0.90% (422bps)
Depth
$1.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Trump sell 5k-10k
21.3%Trade
Trump sell 10k-25k
21.3%Trade
Trump sell 25k-100k
18.4%Trade
Trump sell 0
14.5%Trade
Trump sell 2.5k-5k
7.0%Trade
Trump sell over 100k
6.5%Trade
Trump sell 1k-2.5k
6.3%Trade
Trump sell 1-100
5.3%Trade
Trump sell 101-1k
4.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%