Part of Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?

Rank #7333·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolved Oct 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.6% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$128,972.41
Liquidity
$13,337.98
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.45%
Spread
0.10% (2222bps)
Depth
$13.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Resolved Oct 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
March 31
9.5%Trade
December 31
0.4%Trade
October 31
-Trade
November 30
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.

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