Part of Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$6,883.54
Liquidity
$3,202.54
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
19%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
9.5%
Spread
3.00% (3158bps)
Depth
$3.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
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