PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Yes
4%
Very unlikely4¢ implied
History not available yet

Outcomes

No
96%
Yes
4%
Last update:

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market CloseMar 31, 2026