Part of Who will Trump talk to in January?

Will Trump talk to Satya Nadella in January?

Q: Who will Trump talk to in January? - Will Trump talk to Satya Nadella in January?

Current market consensus shows a 87% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

87.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 29.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$699.65

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

59%

Market Microstructure

Mid

71%

Spread

33.00% (4681bps)

Depth

$700

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	77.0%	Trade
Keir Starmer	71.0%	Trade
Satya Nadella	70.5%	Trade
Friedrich Merz	70.5%	Trade
Emmanuel Macron	64.5%	Trade
Jensen Huang	57.0%	Trade
Mohammed bin Salman	52.0%	Trade
Vladimir Putin	48.5%	Trade
Giorgia Meloni	48.5%	Trade
Nicolás Maduro	37.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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