Part of Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Rank #5875·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Apr 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
84.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 18.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$8,334.10
Liquidity
$1,251.02
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
37%

Market Microstructure

Mid
82%
Spread
5.00% (613bps)
Depth
$1.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Apr 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
April 30
81.5%Trade
March 31
6.5%Trade
October 31
-Trade

Resolution Rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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