Part of 2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Q: 2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify? - Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Current market consensus shows a 61% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Apr 12, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

61.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 48.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$547.50

Liquidity

$485.52

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

97%

Market Microstructure

Mid

52%

Spread

19.00% (3689bps)

Depth

$486

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Apr 12, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Italy	66.5%	Trade
Turkey	51.5%	Trade
Bolivia	49.5%	Trade
Ukraine	34.5%	Trade
Poland	34.0%	Trade
Sweden	28.5%	Trade
Czechia	22.5%	Trade
Wales	20.0%	Trade
Bosnia and Herzegovina	19.0%	Trade
Romania	12.0%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

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