Part of Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 57% and 58%?

Rank #5949·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
1.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.1% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$8,978.87
Liquidity
$1,165.25
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.90%
Spread
1.20% (13333bps)
Depth
$1.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 58% and 59
84.5%Trade
between 59% and 60
4.3%Trade
greater than 62
3.9%Trade
between 56% and 57
2.5%Trade
less than 56
1.9%Trade
between 57% and 58
0.9%Trade
between 61% and 62
0.4%Trade
between 60% and 61
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

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