Part of Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,623.65
Liquidity
$957.85
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
30%

Market Microstructure

Mid
15%
Spread
2.00% (1333bps)
Depth
$958
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 64% and 66
18.5%Trade
between 62% and 64
15.0%Trade
between 58% and 60
13.0%Trade
between 55% and 58
13.0%Trade
less than 55
9.6%Trade
between 60% and 62
9.0%Trade
between 66% and 68
7.5%Trade
at least 72
2.3%Trade
between 70% and 72
2.3%Trade
between 68% and 70
1.8%Trade

Resolution Rules

The first round of the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage in the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election, calculated as the total number of votes received (“votos recibidos”) divided by the total electorate (“electorado”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Costa Rica Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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