Current YES Probability
0.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.6%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$74,036.51
Liquidity
$10,152.83
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.40%
Spread
0.40% (10000bps)
Depth
$10.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.
The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.
This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
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