Part of 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament Qualifiers

Will Vladimir Fedoseev qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?

Q: 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament Qualifiers - Will Vladimir Fedoseev qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?

Current market consensus shows a 8% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

7.7%0.0% (24h)

NO: 96.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$81.67

Liquidity

$3,282.64

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

4.0%

Spread

7.50% (18987bps)

Depth

$3.3k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Hikaru Nakamura	99.0%	Trade
Magnus Carlsen	4.1%	Trade
Vladimir Fedoseev	4.0%	Trade
Nodirbek Abdusattorov	1.0%	Trade
Arjun Erigaisi	0.4%	Trade
Vincent Keymer	0.4%	Trade
Alireza Firouzja	0.3%	Trade
Hans Niemann	0.3%	Trade
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave	0.2%	Trade
Ian Nepomniachtchi	0.2%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player officially qualifies for the 2026 FIDE World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIDE World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament is cancelled or rescheduled past January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIDE Candidates Tournament organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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