Part of The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film
Will Wagner Moura win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Resolves Mar 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
49.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 70.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$30.00
Liquidity
$300.72
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
60%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
30%
Spread
38.00% (12667bps)
Depth
$301
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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