Part of Which cities will have a white Christmas?

Will Washington D.C. have a white Christmas?

Rank #14857·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolved Dec 25, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$255.97
Liquidity
$912.29
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
10%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.0%
Spread
8.00% (16000bps)
Depth
$912
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Resolved Dec 25, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Seattle
7.0%Trade
Philadelphia
6.5%Trade
Chicago
6.5%Trade
Boston
5.5%Trade
Washington D.C
5.0%Trade
Detroit
4.5%Trade
New York City
0.4%Trade
St. Louis
0.1%Trade
Dallas
0.1%Trade
Miami
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the National Weather Service records a snowfall observed value of at least .5 inches for the listed city on December 25, 2025. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), St. Louis, MO (St. Louis), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Boston-Logan Airport (Boston), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Downtown San Francisco (San Francisco), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), and Washington-National (Washington D.C.). The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.

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