Part of How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?

Rank #7961·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
18.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 83.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,814.70
Liquidity
$1,674.16
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
34%

Market Microstructure

Mid
17%
Spread
2.00% (1176bps)
Depth
$1.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
7 cities
21.0%Trade
8 cities
21.0%Trade
6 cities
17.0%Trade
9 cities
12.5%Trade
10 cities
11.5%Trade
5 cities or less
11.0%Trade
11 cities
7.5%Trade
12 or more cities
5.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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