Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?

Q: Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?

Current market consensus shows a 2% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech

Current YES Probability

1.5%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Last 24h trend

Volume (Period)

—

Total Volume

$10,156.57

Liquidity

$424.78

Thin

Volatility

—

Confidence (R²)

—

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio

-%/-%

Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-

Retail Sentiment-

Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes

BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

Platform	Yes	No	Action
polymarket	-	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Waymo's monthly rides in San Francisco exceeds or is equal to Uber's monthly rides for any month in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Monthly rides is defined as total gross bookings - i.e. the number of pickups and drop offs inside SF operating boundary. The resolution source will be reputable sources including YipitData, and company reports, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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