Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
6.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.4%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$10,391.64
Liquidity
$710.04
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
7%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
3.6%
Spread
5.60% (15556bps)
Depth
$710
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Waymo's monthly rides in San Francisco exceeds or is equal to Uber's monthly rides for any month in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Monthly rides is defined as total gross bookings - i.e. the number of pickups and drop offs inside SF operating boundary.
The resolution source will be reputable sources including YipitData, and company reports, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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