Part of The Actor Awards Winner: Best Cast in a Motion Picture

Will "Wicked: For Good" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?

Rank #10208·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
74.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 61.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$102.00
Liquidity
$204.07
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
78%

Market Microstructure

Mid
39%
Spread
70.00% (17949bps)
Depth
$204
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
"One Battle After Another"
49.5%Trade
"Bugonia"
44.0%Trade
"Wicked: For Good"
39.0%Trade
"Sentimental Value"
11.5%Trade
"Hamnet"
10.0%Trade
"Film A"
-Trade
"Film K"
-Trade
"Film P"
-Trade
"Film R"
-Trade
"Film V"
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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