Part of Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Q: Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Current market consensus shows a 85% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves May 16, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

85.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 56.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$12.86

Liquidity

$10.84

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

88%

Market Microstructure

Mid

44%

Spread

82.00% (18636bps)

Depth

$11

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

May 16, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Julie Emerson	48.0%	Trade
Chris Holder	46.5%	Trade
Xan John	44.0%	Trade
Bill Cassidy	32.5%	Trade
John Fleming	20.5%	Trade
Kathy Seiden	13.0%	Trade
Blake Miguez	10.0%	Trade
Randall Arrington	9.0%	Trade
Tracy Dendy	8.5%	Trade
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt	6.0%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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