Part of Next French Presidential Election

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Rank #8197·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Apr 30, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$12,686.79
Liquidity
$10,859.81
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.35%
Spread
0.10% (2857bps)
Depth
$10.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Apr 30, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Jordan Bardella
30.5%Trade
Édouard Philippe
16.0%Trade
Gabriel Attal
9.0%Trade
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
9.0%Trade
Marine Le Pen
8.0%Trade
Dominique de Villepin
3.4%Trade
David Lisnard
2.7%Trade
Jean Castex
0.9%Trade
Juan Branco
0.8%Trade
François Hollande
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%