Part of CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Yadira Caraveo be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$57.00
Liquidity
$153.33
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
10%

Market Microstructure

Mid
4.9%
Spread
8.30% (17113bps)
Depth
$153
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Manny Rutinel
47.0%Trade
Shannon Bird
46.5%Trade
Dave Young
13.3%Trade
Amie Baca-Oehlert
11.5%Trade
John Szemler
5.3%Trade
Yadira Caraveo
4.9%Trade
Candidate A
-Trade
Candidate C
-Trade
Candidate E
-Trade
Candidate G
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
+0.0%