Part of Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Rank #5741·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
0.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 100.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,043,529.37
Liquidity
$7,339.75
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.10%
Spread
0.00% (0bps)
Depth
$7.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will OpenAI
94.2%Trade
Will Anthropic
3.7%Trade
Will xAI
0.4%Trade
Will DeepSeek
0.2%Trade
Will Google
0.1%Trade
Will Z.ai
0.1%Trade
Will Alibaba
0.1%Trade
Will Moonshot
0.1%Trade
Will Mistral
0.1%Trade
Will Company A
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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