Part of Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
1.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.1% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$994.23
Liquidity
$1,890.34
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.95%
Spread
0.10% (1053bps)
Depth
$1.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will OpenAI
49.5%Trade
Will Anthropic
20.5%Trade
Will Google
19.5%Trade
Will xAI
10.2%Trade
Will DeepSeek
3.9%Trade
Will Z.ai
0.9%Trade
Will Moonshot
0.9%Trade
Will Alibaba
0.8%Trade
Will Mistral
0.4%Trade
Will Company B
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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