Part of West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Q: West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Current market consensus shows a 84% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves May 12, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

84.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 52.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$3.30

Liquidity

$65.56

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

95%

Market Microstructure

Mid

48%

Spread

73.00% (15368bps)

Depth

$66

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

May 12, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Rio Phillips	53.0%	Trade
Zachary Shrewsbury	47.5%	Trade
Person B	-	Trade
Person F	-	Trade
Person J	-	Trade
Person M	-	Trade
Person Q	-	Trade
Person U	-	Trade
Person Y	-	Trade
Person C	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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