Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Rank #12750·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$12,286.93
Liquidity
$7,100.04
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
16%

Market Microstructure

Mid
8.0%
Spread
2.00% (2500bps)
Depth
$7.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.” An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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